HURRICANES, THE MOST DESTRUCTIVE STORMS

by Steven LJ Russo

Below is an excerpt of a newspaper column that I wrote back in 1996.  The information below is still correct!

    Hurricane season runs from June through November, with the main months being August and September, so here is everything you always wanted to know about hurricanes, but were afraid to ask. 

    Hurricanes are the most destructive of all meteorological phenomena.  In the western Pacific, they are called typhoons, and in other regions they are referred to as cyclones.  The word comes from the West Indian word "huracan", and originally referred to storms only in the West Indies.  That name is now given to any similar storm where sustained winds reach 74 miles per hour.  Up to that point, it is named differently.  As a swirling storm, it is called a tropical depression, and when winds reach 40 miles per hour, it becomes a tropical storm.

    After it becomes a hurricane, we use the Saffir-Simpson scale of potential damage based on wind speed.  Category 1, where damage is minimal, has wind speeds of 74-95 miles per hour, while category 2, has wind speeds of 96-110 mph.  When the sustained winds reach 111-130 mph, the hurricane is considered "major", and damage is extensive.  In 1992, Hurricane Andrew became a category 4 hurricane, where wind speeds were 131-155 miles per hour.  The most devastating storms are category 5, where sustained winds reach more than 155 mph.

    Hurricanes originate near the Equator, and travel towards the north, if they were born north of it.  They are large, intense low pressure systems whose winds swirl counter clockwise in the northern hemisphere.  These storms, created in the warm waters of the Atlantic or Gulf of Mexico, usually last about ten days, traveling around 15-20 miles per hour, but within that time period, their destructive force is unmatched by any other meteorological event.

    When fully grown, a hurricane reaches a diameter of at least 50 miles, and usually around 160 miles.  With an average wind speed of 130 mph, it's destructive area can be as much as 500 miles across.  The center, also known as the "eye", is usually around 15 miles across, and is nearly a dead calm.  When directly under the eye, blue sky, or stars at night can be seen.

    Generally speaking, once the storm hits the cooler waters of the North Atlantic, or the cooler land masses, it begins to die.  The land also creates friction which slows the storm down leading to it's death.

    Although the wind usually gets top billing, it's actually the water that kills most people.  The "Storm Surge", a quick rise in the tide, can topple sea walls, uproot trees, and tear down buildings that have survived 150 mph winds.  Keep in mind, that one cubic foot of sea water weighs 64 pounds, and if the surge occurs at high tide, it can be as much as 20 feet above the normal tidal levels.  And also keep in mind, that tides are higher during New and Full Moon.  The two most dangerous areas in the U. S. for storm surge, are New Orleans, where water 20 feet deep can enter the city, and Southern Florida, where there is a shallow slope of the ocean bottom and a large population.

    Due to resources like the Weather Channel, CNN, satellites, computers, and the National Hurricane Center, loss of life due to hurricanes in the U. S. has decreased.  Where more than 8000 people would die in the early 1900's, fewer that 200 people would die today.  The opposite is true for the costs of damage.  Between 1920 and 1995, damage per hurricane has gone from 1.5 billion dollars to over 20 billion dollars. 

    Unfortunately, the next twenty years may be ripe for the development of major hurricanes.  No, don't believe the environmentalists; global warming is not the cause of hurricanes. Actually, many scientists believe that Global Warming will actually DECREASE severe storms, due to less variation of temperature, which is the cause of severe storms.   Do believe William Grey from Colorado State University.  He believes that East coast hurricanes are linked with rainfall in Africa.

    During the wetter years in West Africa, 1941 through 1965, 17 major hurricanes hit the east coast or Florida.  During the dryer years, 1966 through 1990, only two major hurricanes hit the east coast, and none in Florida.  If the cycle holds out, then 1991 through 2015 should be wetter than normal in West Africa, and the number of major hurricanes here should increase.

    According to Grey, the major hurricanes should return to the places that have been lull for the past 25 years, and when you take into account population and building growth, "There's going to be hell to pay."  Hurricane Andrew back in August of 1992, may have been the beginning of this "hell"; only time will tell.

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